Season three of The White Lotus is here, and we have lots of questions. Why do people come back to the hotel chain where deaths keep happening? Why do guests travel halfway across the world to Thailand and not even leave the resort? What is going on with Jason Isaacs accent? But more than any other question, we want to know who is going to end up dead in the final episode.

The opening scene featured a volley of gunfire and a dead body floating in the hotel pond, so someone has met their demise, we’ve decided to become armchair detectives and try and figure out who that is. Currently, the most popular running theory is that somehow a monkey got hold of a gun and started shooting, so after two episodes, admittedly there’s little to go on. But we’ve seen the first two seasons and we know how the logic of the show works, and creator Mike White loves to leave a clue or two hanging around. So, with very little to go on, here are our way-to-early theories for who might be dead.

Mook

Could the sweetest, least threatening character end up dead? It’s not out of the question, but the victims of the first two seasons have both been spiralling out of control in various ways, so it seems unlikely a seemingly normal, grounded character will meet their demise. As a White Lotus employee, there’s also scope for Mook to show up in future seasons, so we doubt they want to close that door.

Plus, we don’t think Mike White wants to anger the legion of fans of actress Lisa Manobal‘s K-pop group Blackpink.

Threat level: Low

Kate

So far, she has positioned herself in the middle of the three lifelong friends – that is to say when she’s alone with one, she needs very little invitation to gossip about the other behind their back.

However, while there seems to be potential for Jaclyn or Laurie to spiral, Kate seems the most even-keeled of the three: not riding high on a wave of fame, or struggling. Therefore, we think she’s the safest of the three.

Threat level: Low

Chelsea

We’re still a little confused by her relationship with Rick – how did they meet? Do they even like each other? – but we finally got some flashes of chemistry in episode 2.

Up to now, fun-loving Chelsea seems like she’s on an elongated gap year, and doesn’t have any of the darkness that lurks around some of the other characters. Any potential murder feels like an anecdote she’ll be telling at a Bali hostel, rather than one she is directly involved in.

Threat level: Low

Piper

It feels like a crisis is in Piper’s future. She is in Thailand to research her university thesis on Buddhism, but the trip is also bankrolled by her extraordinarily wealthy father, and she seems apprehensive to approach the monk she has come halfway across the world to see.

This glaring contrast will probably manifest in some sort of internal conflict, but it’s unlikely this will lead her to murder. For now, she’s the least likely of the Ratliff family to meet their demise.

Threat level: Low, but could get caught up with the family drama

Lochlan

We’re not sure what to make of Lochlan. He’s the latest instalment of a character trope we’ve seen before in The White Lotus with Quinn in season one and Albie in season two. Young men or almost-men with imperfect masculine influences who are not quite sure how to navigate the modern world.

For a (presumably) 17-year-old, he does seem especially naive, which could lead him down all sorts of dark paths. But killing the most innocent character, and veering into actual tragedy, is not a route The White Lotus has delved into before.

Threat level: Low chance of death, but a medium chance of being involved in some way. We’re also on high alert for some toxic substance making its way into the protein shakes his brother is trying to get him into.

Rick

The grumpiest man in a five-star luxury resort, Rick seems to represent the sort of midlife-crisis-suffering male tourist who chooses to go to Thailand. We know he’s got some ulterior motive for being there and is trying to track down the owner’s husband. Why? We don’t know – theories range from him looking for his long-lost father to Rick being a hitman hired to kill him.

Threat level: We’re of the thought that Rick is the red herring character – maybe he’s involved in some way, but we don’t think he’s the body floating in the water.

Laurie

It doesn’t feel like Laurie is in a great place entering The White Lotus. Openly weeping when she’s alone, hints of a struggle in her home life and we haven’t seen her without a drink in her hand since she set foot in the resort.

While the three friends might harbour a decent amount of resentment, and might happily engage in psychological warfare, we can’t really see it getting violent to the point of murder. But then, it is The White Lotus.

Threat level: Low, but there is darkness lurking.

Jaclyn

Episode two might have been the start of the cracks starting to appear in Jaclyn’s perfect veneer. A successful actress with a seemingly happy marriage, hints of insecurity and competitiveness started to show in episode two. While this isn’t enough yet for us to be convinced she’s doomed, it could yet spiral out of control.

Threat level: Low but inching closer to medium.

Sritala

The owner of the Thai branch of the hotel chain, Sritala has taken spirituality, wellness and a rejection of materialism, and packaged it up to sell to the uber-wealthy. We know she travels with bodyguards, so there’s a threat present, and we know Rick is hyper-fixated on her husband so she could be used as leverage.

Threat level: Low-to-medium, but could go either way.

Belinda

We love Belinda, and she’s due some good luck after getting emotionally manipulated by Tanya in season one. But she has a problem – as the only one who knows Greg, she can tie him to Tanya’s death. As we’ve seen, he’s not exactly hesitant to discard someone.

The opening scene also featured her son, so it’s likely she’s involved in the shootout in some way, perhaps as a target. But he didn’t recognise the body floating in the water, so at least she’d dodged one bullet.

Threat level: Medium. Definitely under threat, but narratively it’s likely she survives.

Gaitok

Gaetok is the sweet security guard in love with Mook, but perhaps is too sweet for her to see him as a realistic romantic partner. He’s had a taste of danger with the robbery, and it resulted in some very welcome concern and attention, so who’s to say he doesn’t seek more out to prove he can be exciting to his crush?

Plus, as the security guard, he’ll have to be the first responder to whoever is shooting up the hotel in the opening scene.

Threat level: Higher than we’re comfortable with.

Victoria

Just an absolute mess. Accent all over the place, more pills than a pharmacy, falling asleep during dinner and can’t remember people she spent entire weekends with. And this is all while she thinks the family is still incredibly wealthy.

We don’t think she is going to take the news of her husband’s potential arrest particularly well, so this could spiral out of control very quickly.

Threat level: Zonked out of her mind with poisonous fruit lying around the resort? It’s a recipe for disaster.

Saxon

The rules of The White Lotus dictate that each season must have a machismo male character who is just the absolute worst. After Shane in season one and Cameron in season two, Saxon is terror-of-the-week in Thailand. But he’s also a new twist on the archetype – younger, more immature and definitely creepier.

He works for his dad and seems desperate for approval, so Tim’s downward spiral could be mirrored by Saxon as well – plus he doesn’t seem like he’ll take the prospect of not being wealthy all that well.

Threat level: We’re on high alert, but we think the aforementioned poisonous fruit in a protein shake is more likely than him being involved in the shoot-up.

Chloe

There’s nobody as suspicious as Chloe. We know nothing of her background beyond being French-Canadian, so she could just as easily be an unknowing high-end escort Greg has hired or his accomplice in some scheme to grift more money. Either way, we feel her intentions with Chelsea aren’t as pure as just friendship.

Threat level: She’s playing with fire being associated with Greg, but if she dies she won’t be the only victim.

Tim

In episode one, Tim stares out over the luxury resort he has brought his family to and is told by his wife that he’s a great man. By the end of episode two, he’s desperately trying to hire a lawyer to avoid going to jail. If it can go that badly wrong in just two episodes, it could get very dark indeed by episode eight.

We know from the trailer that he gets hold of a gun and starts dipping into his wife’s pharmacy, so things are about to get very bad for Tim.

Threat level: Very high – the only thing that can save him now is that it might be too obvious.

Greg

He has to die, right? Why else would he have been brought back if not for justice. Undoubtedly he’s up to some shenanigans again – as mentioned his relationship with Chloe is very suspicious, and he seems overly miserable for someone who just inherited half a billion dollars and got away with conspiracy to murder.

Threat level: We don’t know who, we don’t know how, but he’s gone – and probably isn’t the only one.


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